The Hypotheses

C0DEBABE5 has identified four particular hypotheses from the two research questions:

There is no (there exists a) significant relationship between GDP and fossil fuel CO2 emissions.

There is no (there exists a) significant relationship between GDP and cement CO2 emissions.

The Philippines' Fossil Fuel CO2 to GDP regression coefficient is not (is) significantly different from the mean CO2 to GDP regression coefficient of all developing countries in our dataset.

The Philippines' Cement CO2 to GDP regression coefficient is not (is) significantly different from the mean CO2 to GDP regression coefficient of all developing countries in our dataset.

Methodology

Data Preprocessing

The essential data for the project was cleaned, filtered and combined after obtaining them from such data sources. As previously stated, data ranging from 1946-2022 were used given the selected countries. The OWID dataset was highly prioritized for data collection, while The World Bank dataset was generally used to fill out missing data observed from the former. In general, fossil fuel CO2 emissions are the computed sum of gas, coal, and oil sources, seperating them from cement CO2 sources.

For a more detailed procedure with the Preprocessing stage along with the raw data:

Data Visualization

Philippine Nutshell Plot

To aid our initial data exploration, C0DEBABE5 has also created a nutshell plot using the data to visualize the GDP and total CO2 emissions of the Philippines.

It is straightforward to say that with this plot, both GDP and CO2 emissions increase over time, in first impression at least.

Moreover, the team also decided to plot certain relevant graphs per country:

CO2 Emissions over Population
CO2 Emissions over GDP

Exploratory Data Analysis

Fossil Fuel & Cement CO2 emissions and GDP in the Philippines over time
Permutation-Regression Test for Philippine CO2 emissions and GDP

To further examine the relationship between GDP and CO2 emissions, a Permutation-Regression test was done between the two features. The result for both features yielded a positive relationship between the two (ccement ≈ 0.011; cfossil fuel ≈ 0.133). Such computed coefficients were also found to be statistically significant at a 95% confidence interval, hence leading to the rejection of the first two null hypotheses (p_valuecement ≈ 0.001; p_valuefossil fuel ≈ 0.001).

Philippines vs. Myanmar & Vietnam in Fossil Fuel & Cement CO2 emissions

These graphs compare the Philippines' GDP, cement CO2 emissions, and fossil fuel CO2 emissions to the most similar country in the dataset, Vietnam, and the most different country in the dataset, Myanmar.

Statistical Tests for Regression Coefficients

At a confidence level of 95%, the Philippines' regression coefficient for GDP to cement CO2 is not significantly different from the developing countries' mean with p = 0.08, but its regression coefficient for GDP to fossil fuel CO2 is significantly different from the mean of the developing countries' sampling distribution with p = 2x10(-180).

To read more details and code on visualizing data and statistical testing

Results and Interpretation

Discussions from the results obtained in the methodology

Conclusion

The CO2 emissions over GDP for the Philippines show a general decrease, indicating significant improvements in carbon efficiency. Compared to neighbors like Vietnam, the Philippines demonstrates better carbon efficiency. This trend aligns with global advancements driven by technological improvements and a shift towards sustainability. However, broader environmental and social challenges remain. To ensure truly sustainable and inclusive development, comprehensive policies addressing total emissions, ecological health, and social well-being are essential​.

Final Words

Despite the fact that the nation's carbon emissions over its GDP seem to be slower relative to other countries, the fact that GDP and CO2 emissions proportionally increase over time remains the same. Hence we, C0DEBABE5, maintain our continuous support for the advocacy of reducing carbon emissions in any form whilst simultaneously aiming for economic progress. This project intends to spread social awareness for the matter and encourage individuals and institutions to develop more enviroment-friendly procedures in all areas within the economy and its productions.

"We need to turn the greatest collective challenge facing humankind today—climate change—into the greatest opportunity for common progress towards a sustainable future" -Ban Ki-Moon

Github Repository

C0DEBABE5

Meet the team. Just some BABE5 who also C0DE.